Coronavirus: The Good:—So far, there has NOT been an explosion commensurate with the high contagiousness estimates being thrown around last weekend in the informative, non-China cases.—The vast majority of cases around the world are from travelers picked up by screening measures who are from, or recently traveled to, Wuhan and surrounding area China.—As of 29 …

Continue reading “Coronavirus and Ebola Update: 30 Jan 2020”

Ye gods the scare headlines have been fast and furious this weekend, so figure I would drop a quick update. What I am -certain- of:1).  This outbreak started some time ago in China.  Before the mid December date currently projected.  It was not detected because this looks like a bad cold, and with a fever, …

Continue reading “Coronavirus Update: 25 Jan 2020”

The order in the subject line is deliberate. First, mea culpa.  I fucked up.  I thought, given China’s speed in identifying the novel coronavirus, this meant they were taking rapid and appropriate steps and being forthcoming about an issue of possibly international health significance.  The lesson, as always, is never, ever, ever trust anything official …

Continue reading “Coronavirus and Ebola Update: 23 Jan 2020”

Only 8 new cases this week, all to known transmission chains, but a couple in new locations that have not seen Ebola in months.  So, basically, more of the same.  Contact tracing is a little under 90%.  A few more security incidents at funerals.  3288 confirmed cases with 2,236 deaths. So on it rolls… In …

Continue reading “Ebola Update: 16 Jan 2020”

Cases trending up again this week–back to a low 20s average for the last couple now.  Geographic spread has widened, and there are now a couple chains of infection with no known original contact–indicating, as we discussed last week for about the billionth time, that contact tracing efforts remain inadequate to ring the virus. Despite …

Continue reading “Ebola Update: 10 January 2020”